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September’s Market Slump Is Not Atypical – It’s Storm Season

  We call September storm season here at Avion. I'm going to tell you why. The September Effect For at least 100 years now, September's been the worst month of the year for the market. Since 1928, it's been down 52 times. In fact, its ratio of down years to up years is 60/40. 60% of the time you'll lose money in September. There's even a term for this. It's called the "September Effect". So, this year we had a couple of  hidden factors. Through August, we had this AI driving rally. Any stock with AI related to it really did well. There's been a bit of a pullback, and towards the end of September, it really began to sink in that the era of free money is over. Globally, stocks pulled back a little bit as a result of that realization. That could be fairly permanent. The good news…
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Cost of Renovation Projects has Increased!

  Like many people, I have been involved in a number of renovation projects in the last three or four years. And I have paid tuition like never before. So the purpose of this video is to maybe help you pay a little less tuition than I did. I read a fascinating article in the Financial Times that really talked about how renovation projects are becoming a disaster for people. It would've been nice to read this article three or four years ago. But what we're seeing both with our clients, ad hoc conversation with others, and even personal experiences within our office is the world has changed. It used to be if you couldn't afford it the way it is, buy what you can afford, fix it up. That could be a house, a plane, a classic car, a boat. But the rules of the game are changing. Labor…
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Million-Dollar Business Building To Maximize Value In Your Business

If you’re a business owner who is contemplating selling your business, you can learn valuable tips and avoidable traps in this interview with our founder and CEO Paul Carroll who was a guest on the Failing to Success podcast. In this discussion, you’ll hear how Paul’s prior experience, both in aviation and the financial sector, sparked his desire to build his own wealth management firm dedicated to helping successful growth-minded business leaders. Paul shares insights about how to maximize the value of your business that he’s learned hands-on from more than two decades of leading Avion Wealth and through serving as a wealth manager advising business owners on their exit strategies. He reveals specific tips on how to treat personal expenses, what it means to have "clean books," and why it may make sense to pay more taxes now for a bigger payout later. Paul walks through real life examples…
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The Debt Ceiling Fiasco Is Behind Us, But Are We Facing a Debt Armageddon?

  So the debt ceiling fiasco is behind us, but are we facing a debt Armageddon? To me it was fairly clear that it was unlikely the Republicans would take this too far, because previously when they did that, it hurt them at the elections. However, they were able to squeeze an effect of 12-month freeze in the growth of spending. But why not more? Why is this such a difficult problem? As a quick summary, there are three types of spending. There's mandatory spending, discretionary spending, and interest on the debt. You could add a fourth type, and we call that tax code spending. Mandatory spending is two-thirds of the budget. It is written in the law. Social security, Medicare, Medicaid, it's untouchable. Discretionary spending is 23%. One half of that goes to the military, and these are uncertain times. The remaining that's discretionary is 11% of the budget.…
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