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Million-Dollar Business Building To Maximize Value In Your Business

If you’re a business owner who is contemplating selling your business, you can learn valuable tips and avoidable traps in this interview with our founder and CEO Paul Carroll who was a guest on the Failing to Success podcast. In this discussion, you’ll hear how Paul’s prior experience, both in aviation and the financial sector, sparked his desire to build his own wealth management firm dedicated to helping successful growth-minded business leaders. Paul shares insights about how to maximize the value of your business that he’s learned hands-on from more than two decades of leading Avion Wealth and through serving as a wealth manager advising business owners on their exit strategies. He reveals specific tips on how to treat personal expenses, what it means to have "clean books," and why it may make sense to pay more taxes now for a bigger payout later. Paul walks through real life examples…
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The Debt Ceiling Fiasco Is Behind Us, But Are We Facing a Debt Armageddon?

  So the debt ceiling fiasco is behind us, but are we facing a debt Armageddon? To me it was fairly clear that it was unlikely the Republicans would take this too far, because previously when they did that, it hurt them at the elections. However, they were able to squeeze an effect of 12-month freeze in the growth of spending. But why not more? Why is this such a difficult problem? As a quick summary, there are three types of spending. There's mandatory spending, discretionary spending, and interest on the debt. You could add a fourth type, and we call that tax code spending. Mandatory spending is two-thirds of the budget. It is written in the law. Social security, Medicare, Medicaid, it's untouchable. Discretionary spending is 23%. One half of that goes to the military, and these are uncertain times. The remaining that's discretionary is 11% of the budget.…
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If The Economy’s Not Broken, What Can Go Wrong? – Threats to the Economy

  The economy is not broken, but what can go wrong? This is not a Pollyanna video. There are real threats to talk about, but usually they're not the threats that people are thinking of. In the last video we discussed the extraordinary performance of the United States economy relative to the rest of the world. But there are things that can go wrong, and particularly, there are five things that cause economists and policy wonks the most concern. Current Threats to the Economy Immigration is Good for the Economy Number one, immigration. It is without a doubt the key to American exceptionalism. If you look at the S&P 500, the founders of those companies that make up the S&P 500, 45% were either immigrants or the children of immigrants. Economic migrants come to the United States with an ability to take risks, a sense of adventure, and a willingness…
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Everyone Agrees The Economy Is Broken. Why?

  Is the Economy Bad or Good? Everybody seems to agree that the economy is broken. Why? And more relevantly, why might they be wrong? As we know, Trump promised to make America great again, and Biden is spending $2 trillion to build back better. Despite the fact that 80% of the population are expressing concern for their or their children's future, what we see when we look at the numbers relative to the rest of the world, is that the United States’ economy is a stunning success. GDP I'll give you an example. America is the world's richest, most productive, and innovative country. Let's look at China. China has grown phenomenally since the 1990s. Back in 1990, the United States was 25% of global GDP. Despite China's phenomenal growth, the United States still is at 25% of GDP. In fact, back in 1990, the G7, supposedly the biggest economies…
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Bonds Are On Sale!

  For years, we've preached “stay short-term on your bonds”, but today's the inflection point where the interest rate risk we've worried about is now offset by reinvestment risk. So, what is reinvestment risk? For the past few years, we've preached short-term bonds and inflation-protected bonds. Today, the Vanguard Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF has a forward yield of 5%. That's tough to beat. The Fed is expected to raise interest rates by a quarter percent within the next 24 hours, so by the time you're reading this, it may already have happened. There's an 89% probability. We're going to assume it's going to happen. What is Reinvestment Risk? Yesterday's trap was long maturity bonds with higher yields. A lot of broker dealers sold a lot of elderly people a lot of long bonds, and they got crucified when interest rates went up. Yes, they continued to get that three, 4%…
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How To Lose Billions Buying Stock Options

  A week or two ago, I read a great article in The Economist and it was talking about a new form of gambling that seems to have taken hold in the United States, and it's trading options just hours before they expire. As many of you already know, options can be bought 30, 60, 90 days, sometimes even longer out, and they become quite volatile in the last few hours of trading. In the graph below you can see just how much this activity has increased since all the GameStop traders started getting involved in the stock market post-COVID. Increasing Option Action In fact, in early 2020 before COVID really took hold, daily transaction volume was just 20 million transactions. It rose to 40 million in one year. This year, in February, we saw an average of 45 million options trades per day, and one day it peaked at…
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What Is A Central Bank Digital Currency And Should We Care?

  A question came up recently: what is a central bank digital currency and why should we even care? Well, a central bank digital currency is in essence a digital form of the country's fiat currency issued and regulated by a central bank, or to put it another way, it's a digital dollar bill. Not to be confused with crypto, which is decentralized and not backed by any institution. There are two types of these devices. One is wholesale, one is retail. Wholesale central bank digital currencies are for interbank relationships. Really, the benefit of that will just be simplicity, reduced costs, more rapid transfers. It's going to be part of the plumbing of the financial system. Doesn't really affect you and me. What would affect you and me though, is the retail version that could be used for public transactions. Think of it as digital dollars in a digital…
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Is The U.S. Dollar’s Global Dominance At Risk?

  So there's been a lot written about the importance of the US dollar being the global reserve currency. What happens if we lose that status and is that even likely? Periodically, you'll read this discussion about the reserve currency status and how with the debt and other factors, the United States is at risk of losing that status. A couple of questions will follow. One is "so what?" And two is "what does it mean?" First, what is the reserve currency? A reserve currency is basically a core currency that's used for global trading. It's a currency that people in other countries want to hold, and the fact of the matter is that the United States is not only a core currency, it is the preeminent core currency. The two other major core currencies are the euro and the renminbi from China. Why is it important? Why do we…
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How Opportunity Zones Can Wipe Clean Your Capital Gains

  This is the fifth video in the series. In the first four, we identified real estate investment opportunities, we discussed the challenge of capital gains and depreciation, we talked about using 1031 exchanges to defer that depreciation. But is there a way to just eliminate those capital gains? A qualified opportunity zone. What is it? It's essentially a designated geographic area, usually a low-income community, and it's designated within the rules of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017. It is designed to incentivize investment in areas that are underserved financially, that need economic development. There's a whole debate as to how effective this has been, but that's not the purpose of this video. If you invest a high capital gain rollover into a qualified opportunity zone and you hold it for five years, 10% of those capital gains that you invested on top of the gains in…
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How To Leverage 1031 Exchanges For Tax Savings

  In the last three videos we've talked about real estate investing, capital gains, depreciation, recapture, and how to defer those using 1031 exchanges. As we know, 1031 exchanges defer capital gains on real estate transactions, but sometimes they're tricky. Today we're going to talk about some advanced strategies to maximize the benefit of 1031 exchange. So, you want to do a 1031 exchange. You’ve got the property. You've sold it. But for whatever reason, maybe it's a very rich real estate market, maybe there's just a lack of inventory, you can't identify in 45 days, or you can't close in 180. That may be a financing issue. What are you going to do? Well, all is not lost. There's actually a strategy called a Delaware Statutory Trust, a DST. It's a very complex trust, but it's okay, you're not inventing it. There are alt investors, there are private investors,…
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