Aviation Safety Reporting System. Operated by NASA on behalf of the Federal Aviation Administration.
Bar-Eli, Michael, Ofer H. Azar, Ilana Ritov, Yael Keidar-Levin, and Galit Schein. “Action Bias among Elite Soccer Goalkeepers: The Case of Penalty Kicks.” Journal of Economic Psychology 28, no. 5 (2007): 606–621.
Baron, Jonathan, and John C. Hershey. “Outcome Bias in Decision Evaluation.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 54, no. 4 (1988): 569–579.
Baumeister, Roy F., Ellen Bratslavsky, Catrin Finkenauer, and Kathleen D. Vohs. “Bad Is Stronger Than Good.” Review of General Psychology 5, no. 4 (2001): 323–370.
Benartzi, Shlomo, and Richard H. Thaler. “Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 110, no. 1 (1995): 73–92.
Brockner, Joel. “The Escalation of Commitment to a Failing Course of Action: Toward Theoretical Progress.” Academy of Management Review 17, no. 1 (1992): 39–61.
Christensen-Szalanski, Jay J. J., and Cynthia Fobian Willham. “The Hindsight Bias: A Meta-Analysis.” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 48, no. 1 (1991): 147–168.
Code of Federal Regulations. Title 14, § 121.383(d). Age limitation on use of pilot services.
Code of Federal Regulations. Title 49, Part 831. National Transportation Safety Board investigative procedures.
Dekker, Sidney. The Field Guide to Understanding Human Error. Aldershot, UK: Ashgate, 2006.
Dichev, Ilia D. “What Are Stock Investors’ Actual Historical Returns? Evidence from Dollar-Weighted Returns.” American Economic Review 97, no. 1 (2007): 386–401.
Dolan, Robert J. “Eastman Kodak Company: Funtime Film.” Harvard Business School Case 594-111, 1994. Revised May 8, 1995.
Duke, Annie. Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts. New York: Portfolio, 2018.
Ellsberg, Daniel. “Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 75, no. 4 (1961): 643–669.
Fair Treatment for Experienced Pilots Act, Pub. L. No. 110-135, 121 Stat. 1450 (2007).
Federal Aviation Administration. Advisory Circular 120-51E, Crew Resource Management Training. Washington, DC: Federal Aviation Administration, January 22, 2004.
Fenton-O’Creevy, Mark, Nigel Nicholson, Emma Soane, and Paul Willman. “Trading on Illusions: Unrealistic Perceptions of Control and Trading Performance.” Journal of Occupational and Organizational Psychology 76, no. 1 (2003): 53–68.
Finkelstein, Sydney. Why Smart Executives Fail: And What You Can Learn from Their Mistakes. New York: Portfolio, 2003.
Fischhoff, Baruch. “Hindsight ≠ Foresight: The Effect of Outcome Knowledge on Judgment under Uncertainty.” Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance 1, no. 3 (1975): 288–299.
Flyvbjerg, Bent. “From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right.” Project Management Journal 37, no. 3 (2006): 5–15.
Flyvbjerg, Bent, Mette K. Skamris Holm, and Søren L. Buhl. “Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?” Journal of the American Planning Association 68, no. 3 (2002): 279–295.
Galinsky, Adam D., and Thomas Mussweiler. “First Offers as Anchors: The Role of Perspective-Taking and Negotiator Focus.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 81, no. 4 (2001): 657–669.
Gavetti, Giovanni, Rebecca Henderson, and Simona Giorgi. “Kodak and the Digital Revolution (A).” Harvard Business School Case 705-448, November 2004. Revised November 2005.
Gawande, Atul. The Checklist Manifesto: How to Get Things Right. New York: Metropolitan Books, 2009.
Henderson, Rebecca. “The Innovator’s Dilemma as a Problem of Organizational Competence.” Journal of Product Innovation Management 23, no. 1 (2006): 5–11.
Kahneman, Daniel. Thinking, Fast and Slow. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011.
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. “Intuitive Prediction: Biases and Corrective Procedures.” TIMS Studies in the Management Sciences 12 (1979): 313–327.
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk.” Econometrica 47, no. 2 (1979): 263–291.
Klein, Gary. “Performing a Project Premortem.” Harvard Business Review 85, no. 9 (September 2007): 18–19.
Klein, Gary. Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1998.
Laibson, David. “Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 112, no. 2 (1997): 443–477.
Langer, Ellen J. “The Illusion of Control.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 32, no. 2 (1975): 311–328.
Lovallo, Dan, and Daniel Kahneman. “Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives’ Decisions.” Harvard Business Review 81, no. 7 (July 2003): 56–63.
Machina, Mark J., and Marciano Siniscalchi. “Ambiguity and Ambiguity Aversion.” In Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty, vol. 1, edited by Mark J. Machina and W. Kip Viscusi, 729–807. Amsterdam: North-Holland, 2014.
Malhotra, Deepak, and Max H. Bazerman. Negotiation Genius. New York: Bantam, 2007.
Malmendier, Ulrike, and Geoffrey Tate. “CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment.” Journal of Finance 60, no. 6 (2005): 2661–2700.
Malmendier, Ulrike, and Geoffrey Tate. “Who Makes Acquisitions? CEO Overconfidence and the Market’s Reaction.” Journal of Financial Economics 89, no. 1 (2008): 20–43.
Miller, Dale T., and Michael Ross. “Self-Serving Biases in the Attribution of Causality: Fact or Fiction?” Psychological Bulletin 82, no. 2 (1975): 213–225.
Moore, Don A., and Paul J. Healy. “The Trouble with Overconfidence.” Psychological Review 115, no. 2 (2008): 502–517.
National Transportation Safety Board. Aviation Investigation Manual.
National Transportation Safety Board. Loss of Thrust in Both Engines After Encountering a Flock of Birds and Subsequent Ditching on the Hudson River, US Airways Flight 1549, Airbus A320-214, N106US, Weehawken, New Jersey, January 15, 2009. Aircraft Accident Report AAR-10/03. Washington, DC: National Transportation Safety Board, 2010.
Parrish, Shane. Clear Thinking: Turning Ordinary Moments into Extraordinary Results. New York: Portfolio, 2023.
Richards, Carl. The Behavior Gap: Simple Ways to Stop Doing Dumb Things with Money. New York: Portfolio, 2012.
Samuelson, William, and Richard Zeckhauser. “Status Quo Bias in Decision Making.” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 1, no. 1 (1988): 7–59.
Schelling, Thomas C. “Self-Command in Practice, in Policy, and in a Theory of Rational Choice.” American Economic Review 74, no. 2 (1984): 1–11.
Sharot, Tali. “The Optimism Bias.” Current Biology 21, no. 23 (2011): R941–R945.
Shefrin, Hersh. Beyond Greed and Fear: Understanding Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing. New York: Oxford University Press, 2002. Originally published Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2000.
Staw, Barry M. “The Escalation of Commitment to a Course of Action.” Academy of Management Review 6, no. 4 (1981): 577–587.
Sullenberger, Chesley B., and Jeffrey Zaslow. Highest Duty: My Search for What Really Matters. New York: William Morrow, 2009.
Tetlock, Philip E. Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2005.
Tetlock, Philip E., and Dan Gardner. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. New York: Crown, 2015.
Thaler, Richard H. “Mental Accounting Matters.” Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 12, no. 3 (1999): 183–206.
Thaler, Richard H. Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics. New York: W. W. Norton, 2015.
Thaler, Richard H., and Shlomo Benartzi. “Save More Tomorrow: Using Behavioral Economics to Increase Employee Saving.” Journal of Political Economy 112, no. S1 (2004): S164–S187.
Thaler, Richard H., and Cass R. Sunstein. Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2008.
Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. “Availability: A Heuristic for Judging Frequency and Probability.” Cognitive Psychology 5, no. 2 (1973): 207–232.
Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. “Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.” Science 185, no. 4157 (1974): 1124–1131.
Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. “Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 106, no. 4 (1991): 1039–1061.
Whyte, Glen. “Escalating Commitment in Individual and Group Decision Making: A Prospect Theory Approach.” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 54, no. 3 (1993): 430–455.
Opt-Out Preference Signal Honored — we detected your browser's Global Privacy Control and opted you out of the sale/sharing of your information.
We use cookiesWe use cookies to improve your experience and for analytics. By continuing you agree; you can opt out anytime. Privacy policy.
Choose which cookies we may use. You can change this anytime.
Additional Reading Suggestions